A Conflict between Two Axioms for Combining Subjective Distributions
研究了如何组合多个个体的概率分布问题，发现两个直观合理的群体理性公理会导致忽略多数意见的不可接受的共识。
SUMMARY The problem of how to combine the probability distributions of a number of individuals is examined. When two intuitively appealing axioms of group rationality are used to determine the pooling procedure, a generally unacceptable consensus arises which ignores all but one of the opinions expressed.