空间自回归中的间接推断

Indirect inference in spatial autoregression

Econometrics Journal · 2017
被引 20
ABS 3

中文导读

研究了用间接推断方法修正普通最小二乘法在纯空间自回归模型中的不一致性,证明该估计量一致且渐近正态,蒙特卡洛实验显示其偏差小、性能稳健。

Abstract

Ordinary least‐squares (OLS) is well known to produce an inconsistent estimator of the spatial parameter in pure spatial autoregression (SAR). In this paper, we explore the potential of indirect inference to correct the inconsistency of OLS. Under broad conditions, it is shown that indirect inference (II) based on OLS produces consistent and asymptotically normal estimates in pure SAR regression. The II estimator used here is robust to departures from normal disturbances and is computationally straightforward compared with quasi‐maximum likelihood (QML). Monte Carlo experiments based on various specifications of the weight matrix show that: (a) the II estimator displays little bias even in very small samples and gives overall performance that is comparable to the QML while raising variance in some cases; (b) II applied to QML also enjoys good finite sample properties; and (c) II shows robust performance in the presence of heavy‐tailed error distributions.

空间计量经济学间接推断估计方法蒙特卡洛模拟