最优货币政策规则与房价:金融摩擦的作用

Optimal Monetary Policy Rules and House Prices: The Role of Financial Frictions

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking · 2015
被引 174 · 同刊同年前 6%
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

在新凯恩斯模型中引入住房部门和家庭金融摩擦,研究简单货币政策规则是否应反应房价变动,发现最优反应的方向和大小取决于金融摩擦程度。

Abstract

We probe the scope for reacting to house prices in simple and implementable monetary policy rules, using a New Keynesian model with a housing sector and financial frictions on the household side. We show that the social‐welfare‐maximizing monetary policy rule features a reaction to house price variations, when the latter are generated by housing demand or financial shocks. The sign and size of the reaction crucially depend on the degree of financial frictions in the economy. When the share of constrained agents is relatively small, the optimal reaction is negative, implying that the central bank must move the policy rate in the opposite direction with respect to house prices. However, when the economy is characterized by a sufficiently high average loan‐to‐value ratio, then it becomes optimal to counter house price increases by raising the policy rate.

最优货币政策规则房价金融摩擦住房需求冲击