近期股价上涨:能否用盈利增长或其他基本面因素解释?

The Recent Ascent of Stock Prices: Can It Be Explained by Earnings Growth or Other Fundamentals?

Econometric Reviews · 1997
被引 23
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

分析了股价、股息、盈利与回报的当前关系,发现市场水平无法用标准估值模型的单一基本面解释,而是反映了对未来股息增长的乐观和预期回报的降低。

Abstract

An analysis of the current relationship between stock prices, dividends, earnings, and returns, aimed at examining the causes of the recent stock market surge. It reveals that the markets level cannot be explained by any single fundamental element of standard stock valuation models, but rather manifests optimism about future dividend growth (based on the present record growth in earnings) and a lower expected return (reflecting a diminished risk premium for holding equity).

股票价格股息增长预期收益风险溢价