Comparing Inflation Expectations of Households and Economists: Is a Little Knowledge a Dangerous Thing?
比较经济学家（利文斯顿调查）、家庭（密歇根消费者金融调查）和时间序列模型（ARIMA）的通胀预测表现。
A comparison of the performance of forecasts by economists (the Livingston survey), households (the Michigan Survey of Consumer Finances), and a time series model (ARIMA).