在周期中增长

Growing Through Cycles

Econometrica · 1999
被引 2
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

提出一个统一框架,将新古典增长与熊彼特增长模型结合,论证经济在投资驱动与创新驱动两个阶段间循环,实现可持续增长。

Abstract

This paper presents models of growth, which put the neoclassical and neo-Schumpetarian growth models in a unified framework. In doing so, it is argued that these two views of growth, one based on factor accumulation and the other based on innovation, are complementary in that they may capture different phases of a single growth experience. It is shown that, under an empirically plausible condition, the economy achieves sustainable growth through cycles, perpetually moving back and forth between two phases. One phase is characterized by higher output growth, higher investment, no innovation and a competitive market structure. The other phase is characterized by lower output growth, lower investment, high innovation, and a more monopolistic market structure. Both investment and innovation are essential in sustaining growth indefinitely, and yet the only one of them appears to play a dominant role in each phase.

经济增长周期创新与投资互补市场结构交替新古典-熊彼特统一框架