移民的环境动机:菲律宾的人口压力、贫困与森林砍伐

Environmental Motivations for Migration: Population Pressure, Poverty, and Deforestation in the Philippines

Land Economics · 1998
被引 55
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

利用菲律宾数据和多分类离散选择模型,研究发现移民更倾向于前往森林覆盖率高、道路系统完善的边疆地区,这些地区森林砍伐更快,提示移民政策需考虑其对环境的影响。

Abstract

"This paper uses a multinomial discrete choice model and data from the Philippines to examine migrant choice between alternative destinations. Travel costs and perceived opportunities at the upland frontier are more important than general (upland plus lowland) destination attributes that indicate more developed social infrastructure or greater expected welfare. For example, migration streams are larger to destinations where the public share of forestland and the road system are larger. These features also characterize regions of more rapid deforestation. Therefore, emigration policies must recognize their effects on deforestation at the frontier--and their anticipated indirect effects on downstream environments."

人口压力贫困森林砍伐移民目的地选择