Evaluating the Energy Production Potential of the United States Outer Continental Shelf
研究了美国外大陆架新租赁计划下石油和天然气生产潜力,发现加速勘探和开采在未来五年内对国内能源供需失衡影响不大,仅能阻止中期进一步下滑。
The potential for oil and gas production on federal lands leased under the new Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) leasing program is estimated using the criterion that the efficient use of nonenergy resources will be maximized. Several submodels are used in the analysis to derive production goals and a supporting five-year lease schedule. Comparisons with current and projected domestic supply, imports, and total use in various time frames indicate that accelerated OCS exploration and production will not have a significant effect on domestic energy consumption and production imbalances in the next five years. At best, it will only prevent further declines during the midterm. 22 references, 1 figure, 4 tables. (DCK)