消费承诺与习惯形成

Consumption Commitments and Habit Formation

Econometrica · 2016
被引 96
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究了家庭层面的调整成本如何影响总消费动态,发现消费承诺模型能解释消费的过度敏感性和平滑性,且在大冲击下这些特征消失,与习惯形成模型不同。

Abstract

We analyze the implications of household-level adjustment costs for the dynamics of aggregate consumption. We show that an economy in which agents have “consumption commitments” is approximately equivalent to a habit formation model in which the habit stock is a weighted average of past consumption if idiosyncratic risk is large relative to aggregate risk. Consumption commitments can thus explain the empirical regularity that consumption is excessively sensitive and excessively smooth, findings that are typically attributed to habit formation. Unlike habit formation and other theories, but consistent with empirical evidence, the consumption commitments model also predicts that excess sensitivity and smoothness vanish for large shocks. These results suggest that behavior previously attributed to habit formation may be better explained by adjustment costs. We develop additional testable predictions to further distinguish the commitment and habit models and show that the two models have different welfare implications.

消费承诺习惯形成调整成本过度敏感性过度平滑性