金融摩擦下的最优发展政策

Optimal Development Policies With Financial Frictions

Econometrica · 2019
被引 158 · 同刊同年前 8%
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究新兴国家政府是否应通过干预产品与要素市场来加速经济发展,在标准增长模型中引入金融摩擦,发现最优政策在早期压低工资以促进企业家财富积累,长期则转向支持劳动者。

Abstract

Is there a role for governments in emerging countries to accelerate economic development by intervening in product and factor markets? To address this question, we study optimal dynamic Ramsey policies in a standard growth model with financial frictions. The optimal policy intervention involves pro-business policies like suppressed wages in early stages of the transition, resulting in higher entrepreneurial profits and faster wealth accumulation. This, in turn, relaxes borrowing constraints in the future, leading to higher labor productivity and wages. In the long run, optimal policy reverses sign and becomes pro-worker. In a multi-sector extension, optimal policy subsidizes sectors with a latent comparative advantage and, under certain circumstances, involves a depreciated real exchange rate. Our results provide an efficiency rationale, but also identify caveats, for many of the development policies actively pursued by dynamic emerging economies.

金融摩擦动态拉姆齐政策最优发展政策企业家利润