Marriage Rates and Marriageable Men: A Test of the Wilson Hypothesis
检验了美国黑人结婚率下降是否因高收入年轻黑人男性减少所致，基于1970和1980年城市级数据发现该因素仅能解释3-4%的下降。
This article examines the hypothesis that recent declines in [U.S.] black marriage rates have been driven by a declining pool of high-earning young black men. Using 1970 and 1980 SMSA-level Census data to estimate a fixed effect model of black marriage rates I find that declines in the pool of marriageable black men are responsible for only a small fraction of the decline in black marriage rates. My estimates suggest that this decline in the number of high-earning young black men explains only 3 to 4 percent of the decline in black marriage rates during the 1970s. (EXCERPT)