Import Substitution Policy in Japan's Economic Development
分析了日本成功实施进口替代政策的原因，包括外汇储备增加、自由经济氛围、缺乏劳动保护政策以及地主政治权力较弱，同时指出该政策导致宏观效用水平下降和二元经济结构加深的代价。
Japan is the only major country which has successfully achieved secondary import substitution policy in this century. This paper tries to clarify the reasons for this success as well as the significant cost associated with the policy. Japan maneged to implement import substitution owing to fortuitous increases in foreign reserves, the liberal economic atmosphere of the early 20th century, the absence of labor protection policy, and the relatively weak political power of landlord. It seems to have paid a considerable cost, however, in overall reduction of the macro utility level. This was a consequence of the deepening of the dual structure of the economy during the fifty years of import substitution.