含趋势数据的频段谱回归

Band Spectral Regression with Trending Data

Econometrica · 2002
被引 104
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究含确定性或随机趋势数据的频段谱回归,发现时域去趋势会导致有偏估计,提出频域去趋势和水平差分回归方法,并建立渐近理论,适用于频率依赖系数模型。

Abstract

Band spectral regression with both deterministic and stochastic trends is considered. It is shown that trend removal by regression in the time domain prior to band spectral regression can lead to biased and inconsistent estimates in models with frequency dependent coefficients. Both semiparametric and nonparametric regression formulations are considered, the latter including general systems of two-sided distributed lags such as those arising in lead and lag regressions. The bias problem arises through omitted variables and is avoided by careful specification of the regression equation. Trend removal in the frequency domain is shown to be a convenient option in practice. An asymptotic theory is developed and the two cases of stationary data and cointegrated nonstationary data are compared. In the latter case, a levels and differences regression formulation is shown to be useful in estimating the frequency response function at nonzero as well as zero frequencies.

带谱回归趋势数据频率依赖系数协整非平稳数据