一种诱导概率的机制

A Mechanism for Eliciting Probabilities

Econometrica · 2009
被引 246
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

描述了一种直接揭示机制,用于诱导代理人报告其主观概率,该机制下的博弈存在占优策略均衡,使代理人如实报告。

Abstract

This paper describes a direct revelation mechanism for eliciting agents' subjective probabilities. The game induced by the mechanism has a dominant strategy equilibrium in which the players reveal their subjective probabilities. Copyright 2009 The Econometric Society.

主观概率直接揭示机制占优策略均衡