技术采纳中的选择与比较优势

Selection and Comparative Advantage in Technology Adoption

Econometrica · 2011
被引 633 · 同刊同年前 9%
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究发展中国家农民为何不采纳能大幅提高利润的技术(如杂交玉米),发现原因是技术收益和成本因人而异,低净收益者不采纳,而采纳决策总体理性。

Abstract

This paper investigates an empirical puzzle in technology adoption for developing countries: the low adoption rates of technologies like hybrid maize that increase average farm profits dramatically. I offer a simple explanation for this: benefits and costs of technologies are heterogeneous, so that farmers with low net returns do not adopt the technology. I examine this hypothesis by estimating a correlated random coefficient model of yields and the corresponding distribution of returns to hybrid maize. This distribution indicates that the group of farmers with the highest estimated gross returns does not use hybrid, but their returns are correlated with high costs of acquiring the technology (due to poor infrastructure). Another group of farmers has lower returns and adopts, while the marginal farmers have zero returns and switch in and out of use over the sample period. Overall, adoption decisions appear to be rational and well explained by (observed and unobserved) variation in heterogeneous net benefits to the technology.

技术采纳异质性收益比较优势随机系数模型