A State-Level Agricultural Sector Policy Model: Baseline and Implications of the Dunkel Text on Agriculture for Iowa
构建了一个爱荷华州农业部门模型，用于评估在特定经济、政策、天气和技术假设下该州农业经济的未来表现。分析发现，邓克尔文本对农业的影响使爱荷华州净农场收入增长比例高于全美平均水平，因其农业集中于受益商品。
A better understanding of the relationship between a state's agricultural sector and the national agricultural economy increases the ability of agricultural interest groups to anticipate and understand policy developments. This paper develops and documents a state-level model of the Iowa agricultural sector. The model is used to evaluate the future performance of the Iowa agricultural economy, given a specific set of assumptions about the general economy, agricultural policies, the weather, and technological change. When the model is used to analyze the implications of the Dunkel text on agriculture, the increase in Iowa net farm income is found to be proportionally higher than the increase in U.S. net farm income, because Iowa's agricultural economy is concentrated in commodities that benefit from the Dunkel text.