减少美国农作物和乳制品部门的不协调

Reducing Disharmonies in the U.S. Crops and Dairy Sectors

American Journal of Agricultural Economics · 1988
被引 0
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

用FAPRI模型评估了三种协调美国与欧共体农业政策的措施,发现降低玉米和小麦目标价格对生产影响小,降低牛奶支持价格可减少政府支出并增加消费,综合措施使政府成本减少58亿美元。

Abstract

Various measures have been proposed to "harmonize" agricultural policies in the United States and the European Community. Short-run and long-run consequences of implementing three such measures are evaluated using econometric models developed by the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI).\nGiven conditions prevailing during the 1986/87 crop year, a 10-percent reduction in corn and wheat target prices has relatively small effects on production and market prices. Yields fall, but planted area increases because lower participation rates mean less land is idled by government programs. Establishing a target-price program for soybeans increases soybean production and reduces soybean prices. A 25-percent reduction in milk support prices reduces production, increases consumption, and significantly reduces government purchases. The combined long-run effect of implementing all three measures is a $5.8-billion reduction in government costs, a $6.4-billion decline in producer net returns, and a $3.7-billion gain to milk consumers.

美国农业政策目标价格乳制品支持价格FAPRI模型