奇爱博士的宏观经济学

The Macroeconomics of Dr. Strangelove

American Economic Review · 1993
被引 15
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

在一个嵌入代际交叠模型的威慑/冲突博弈中,分析两个敌对国家的武器积累决策,研究代际外部性和国际合作的帕累托改进可能性。

Abstract

This paper examines the weapons-accumulation decisions of two adversarial countries in the context of a deterrence/conflict initiation game embedded in an overlapping-generations model. The demographic structure permits analysis of both within- and between-country intergenerational externalities caused by past weapons-accumulation decisions, as well as of intragenerational externalities from the adversary's current weap ons accumulation. Zero accumulation is a possible equilibrium with both noncooperative and cooperative behavior. Countries may also accumula te weapons to the point where conflict initiation never occurs. Pareto-improving policies are generally available but international cooperation need not be Pareto-improving. Copyright 1993 by American Economic Association.

军备积累代际外部性威慑博弈冲突均衡