无需先验函数形式知识即可一致估计弹性

An Elasticity can be Estimated Consistently without a Priori Knowledge of Functional Form

Econometrica · 1983
被引 147
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

证明,在无需事先知道成本函数或间接效用函数形式的情况下,只要替代弹性在关注区域内变化不剧烈,使用傅里叶柔性形式并随样本量增加参数数量,就能一致估计价格和替代弹性。

Abstract

We consider an open question in applied price theory: Without a priori knowledge of a firm's cost function or a consumer's indirect utility function, is it possible to estimate price and substitution elasticities consistently by observing a demand system? As the work of White [30], Guilkey, Lovell, and Sickles [19], and others has shown, ordinary flexible functional forms such as the translog cannot achieve this objective. We find that if one is prepared to assume that elasticities of substitution cannot oscillate wildly over the region of interest then consistent estimation is possible using the Fourier flexible form provided the number of fitted parameters increases as the number of observations increases. This result obtains with any of the commonly used statistical methods as, for example, multivariate least squares, maximum likelihood, and three-stage least squares. It obtains if the number of fitted parameters is chosen adaptively by observing the data or chosen deterministically according to some fixed rule. We approach the problem along the classical lines of estimability considerations as used in the study of less than full rank linear statistical models and thereby discover that the problem has a fascinating structure which we explore in detail.

弹性估计函数形式傅里叶柔性形式替代弹性