Do Secure Land Use Rights Reduce Fertility? The Case of Meitan County in China
研究中国湄潭县1987年冻结土地调整的实验,发现稳定的土地使用权并未降低对第三孩的需求,因为强烈的儿子偏好抵消了政策效果,但实验活跃了土地租赁市场。
<i>Based on the belief that collective landownership is pro-natalist, the Chinese government experimented in a remote southwestern county (Meitan) in 1987 with the practice of freezing land reallocations in response to demographic change for twenty years. Premising on the norm of a two-children family in rural China, evidence suggests that demand for the third child is attributable to strong son preference. Neither secured land rights nor family planning policy can curb such a proclivity. The experiment has, however, stimulated an active land rental market, which may have long-term profound implications for the development of private land rights and fertility behavior.</i>