收益率的均衡截面

Equilibrium Cross Section of Returns

Journal of Political Economy · 2003
被引 794 · 同刊同年前 10%
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

构建了一个动态一般均衡生产经济模型,将预期股票收益率与公司规模、账面市值比等特征联系起来,发现这些特征与条件市场贝塔相关,因此能预测收益率,且与单因子条件CAPM一致。

Abstract

We construct a dynamic general equilibrium production economy to explicitly link expected stock returns to firm characteristics such as firm size and the book-to-market ratio. Stock returns in the model are completely characterized by a conditional capital asset pricing model (CAPM). Size and book-to-market are correlated with the true conditional market beta and therefore appear to predict stock returns. The cross-sectional relations between firm characteristics and returns can subsist even after one controls for typical empirical estimates of beta. These findings suggest that the empirical success of size and book-to-market can be consistent with a single-factor conditional CAPM model.

条件资本资产定价模型公司规模账面市值比股票预期收益