利用军人申请者的社保数据估算志愿兵役对劳动力市场的影响

Estimating the Labor Market Impact of Voluntary Military Service Using Social Security Data on Military Applicants

Econometrica · 1998
被引 491
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

利用军人申请者的社保数据,比较入伍者与未入伍者的收入,发现80年代初服役的士兵在服役期间收入显著高于平民,且对非白人退伍军人的平民收入有轻微提升,但对白人退伍军人有负面影响。

Abstract

This study uses Social Security data on the earnings of military applicants to the all-volunteer forces to compare the earnings of Armed Forces veterans with the earnings of military applicants who did not enlist. Matching, regression, and Instrumental Variables (IV) estimates are presented. The matching and regression estimates control for most of the characteristics used by the military to select qualified applicants from the military applicant pool. The IV estimates exploit an error in the scoring of exams used by the military to screen applicants between 1976 and 1980. All the estimates suggest that soldiers who served in the early 1980s were paid considerably more than comparable civilians while in the military. Military service also appears to have led to a modest (less than 10 percent) increase in the civilian earnings of nonwhite veterans while actually reducing the civilian earnings of white veterans. Most of the positive effects of military service on civilian earnings appear to be attributable to improved employment prospects for veterans.

自愿兵役劳动力市场影响军人收入社会安全数据