马歇尔与瓦尔拉斯调整方案稳定性含义的比较:注释

On the Comparison of the Stability Implications of Marshallian and Walrasian Adjustment Schemes: Note

American Economic Review · 1980
被引 6
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

评论托宾关于马歇尔与瓦尔拉斯调整过程稳定性含义的分析,指出托宾对W-K-P模型稳定性条件的表述有误,并修正了马歇尔模型的输出方程,证明其稳定性条件弱于W-K-P条件。

Abstract

This has become a highly influential view. For example, Milton Friedman concurred when he argued that Keynes ... deviated from Marshall, and it was a momentous deviation,... in reversing the roles assigned to and quantity. He assumed that, at least for changes in aggregate demand, quantity was the variable that adjusted rapidly, while was the variable that adjusted slowly, at least in a downward direction (p. 209). More recently James Tobin has argued that one way to appreciate the importance of this change of dynamic structure is to analyze the stability implications of and Walrasian adjustment processes. Tobin argues persuasively that Keynes' achievement was to show that, in a capitalist economy, market forces may be too weak to generate a full-employment equilibrium. Describing Keynes' achievement in this way renders irrelevant the Pigou argument that Keynes failed to establish the existence of an underemployment equilibrium. Thus Tobin writes [t]he real issue is not the existence of a long-run static equilibrium with unemployment, but the possibility of protracted unemployment which the natural adjustments of a market economy remedy very slowly if at all (pp. 19596). In the light of these arguments Tobin develops two simple macro models, one reflecting the Walras-Keynes-Phillips (W-K-P) adjustment relation and the other reflecting the (M) adjustment relation. It is clear from Tobin's analysis that the speed of adjustment of and quantity is not the only characteristic distinguishing the and Walrasian approaches. The functional specification of the two adjustment processes is also different in that Marshallian adjustment in a particular market is that quantity adjusts to the difference between demand and supply for existing quantity. Walrasian adjustment is that quantity adjusts to the difference between demand and supply at existing price (Tobin, p. 196). This comment endeavors to make the following points on Tobin's analysis: 1) Tobin's statement of the stability condition of the W-K-P model is incorrect -the correct stability condition is in fact more restrictive. 2) Tobin's specification of the M model is, as Tobin himself is aware, ... separable into output and equations. Furthermore the output equation ... is a stable differential equation... (p. 200). This avoids the question of whether the adjustment mechanism will in fact yield a stable model in output as well as price. An output equation in keeping with Tobin's statement of the adjustment process is specified below. The condition for stability is derived and shown to be weaker than the W-K-P condition. *Lecturer in economics, University of Melbourne.

马歇尔调整瓦尔拉斯调整稳定性凯恩斯经济学