关于有外部选择的需求博弈中讨价还价的一般实验

A general experiment on bargaining in demand games with outside options

American Economic Review · 1993
被引 42
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

本实验综合了以往需求博弈实验的主要变量(贴现因子、外部选择、终止概率和先动者),发现博弈论预测大多被数据否定,结果常无效率;无外部选择的玩家要价高于预测,有选择的玩家似乎预见到这一点。

Abstract

This experiment factorially combined the major independent variables from previous demand-game experiments (discount factors, outside options, termination probability, and first mover). Game-theoretic predictions were largely refuted by the data and outcomes were often inefficient. Players without an outside option demanded more than predicted and those with an option appeared to anticipate this behavior. Nonetheless, there was a positive relationship between differences in equilibrium predictions and differences in behavior. Bargainers appeared to focus on a minimally acceptable offer in making their demands and in considering the likelihood that the other party would accept their offer. Copyright 1993 by American Economic Association.

讨价还价实验外部选项需求博弈博弈论预测