The Shadow Labor Supply and Its Implications for the Unemployment Rate
研究大衰退后数百万不再找工作的美国人形成的“影子劳动力供给”，分析其规模变化及对官方失业率的影响，对理解经济复苏中的劳动力市场有参考价值。
In the wake of the Great Recession, with more Americans unemployed than at any other time in the last quarter-century, millions of workers stopped seeking work. The crisis saw a sharp rise in the number of people who, in response to surveys, indicated they wanted a job but were not actively seeking one. As long as these individuals are not actively seeking work, they are not considered part of the labor force and are not counted as unemployed in official government statistics such as the unemployment rate. The group continued to swell through the first few years of the economic recovery and, by early 2013, numbered some 6.7 million—nearly 2 million more than before the crisis. Residing on the periphery of the labor market, this group may be viewed as a “shadow labor supply.” How these people fare in the months and years to come could have an important influence on the unemployment rate. If many of these people start actively seeking jobs as the economy recovers, they