优化模型中的拟合优度

Goodness-of-Fit in Optimizing Models

Journal of Econometrics · 1990
被引 4
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

提出一种基于估计目标函数衡量偏离优化程度的方法,从经济显著性而非统计显著性检验优化行为,并以总需求估计为例详细说明。

Abstract

Conventional econometric tests of optimizing models typically involve embedding the optimizing model in a parametric specification and then examining the parametric restrictions imposed by the optimization hypothesis, The optimization hypothesis is rejected if the estimated parameters are significantly different, in the statistical sense, from the values implied by optimization. I argue that a more fruitful approach to testing optimizing behavior is to measure the departure from optimization using the estimated objective function, and see whether this departure is significant in an economic sense. I discuss procedures for doing this that can be used in several sorts of optimizing models, and give a detailed illustration in the case of aggregate demand estimation. 1.

优化模型拟合优度经济显著性目标函数估计