风险决策中的悖论与机制

Paradoxes and mechanisms for choice under risk

Experimental Economics · 2014
被引 146 · 同刊同年前 6%
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

实验发现不同支付机制会显著改变被试的风险偏好,违背了隔离假设,并影响经典风险决策理论的检验,说明机制选择是实验设计的关键。

Abstract

Abstract Experiments on choice under risk typically involve multiple decisions by individual subjects. The choice of mechanism for selecting decision(s) for payoff is an essential design feature unless subjects isolate each one of the multiple decisions. We report treatments with different payoff mechanisms but the same decision tasks. The data show large differences across mechanisms in subjects’ revealed risk preferences, a clear violation of isolation. We illustrate the importance of these mechanism effects by identifying their implications for classical tests of theories of decision under risk. We discuss theoretical properties of commonly used mechanisms, and new mechanisms introduced herein, in order to clarify which mechanisms are theoretically incentive compatible for which theories. We identify behavioral properties of some mechanisms that can introduce bias in elicited risk preferences—from cross-task contamination—even when the mechanism used is theoretically incentive compatible. We explain that selection of a payoff mechanism is an important component of experimental design in many topic areas including social preferences, public goods, bargaining, and choice under uncertainty and ambiguity as well as experiments on decisions under risk.

风险偏好支付机制激励相容跨任务污染