我们应以多快的速度消耗全球公域

How Fast Should We Graze the Global Commons

American Economic Review · 1982
被引 133
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

从成本收益平衡的经济学视角,探讨全球应允许多快的大气二氧化碳积累,并给出数值例和政策观点。

Abstract

Unlike the vast preponderance of planets, earth has been bequeathed a hospitable environment in which to thrive. Up to now, man's activities have affected this environment negligibly. Scientists are becoming convinced, however, that release of carbon dioxide (CO2) from combustion of fossil fuels will lead to a significant modification of the global climate (see Woodwell). How should we think about such a destruction of our heritage? Should it be treated as anathema, like bondage? Or should the pace and extent of use of our global commons be subject to the same reasoned balancing of costs and benefits as other economic activities? The present paper takes the second approach -- asking how fast the global economy should allow a buildup of atmospheric CO2. The first section reviews the current scientific knowledge on this subject, while the second puts this into an optimal growth framework. The third section then presents a numerical example, while the last presents some realistic policy views on the subject.

全球公地二氧化碳排放最优增长成本效益分析