1999年美国农业的十字路口

U.S. Agriculture at the Crossroads in 1999

Econometric Reviews · 1999
被引 0
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

回顾了1998年美国农业因丰收和亚洲经济危机导致价格暴跌的情况,并指出1999年农业收入前景取决于政府是否继续提供高额补贴。

Abstract

Markets for U.S. farm products took a sudden, unexpected turn for the worse in 1998, as supply and demand factors combined to produce a plunge in crop prices. Most parts of the nation had very favorable growing conditions in 1998, resulting in an abundant harvest of the major crops, and pushing prices lower. Likewise, the supply of red meat products in the marketplace soared, as both beef and pork producers boosted production, with pork production hitting a record high. But as supply soared, demand weakened. In particular, the economic crisis in Asia led to a drop in ag exports to many Asian countries. And problems in Asia also contributed to a slowdown in world economic growth more generally, and thus global demand for U.S. farm products slumped.> Lamb reviews the year just past for U.S. agriculture and suggests that, after the gyrations of 1998, the year ahead is one of particular uncertainty. The outlook for farm income depends critically on the role the government will play in the farm sector. If the government grants farmers another round of additional government subsidies, then farm income will likely hold steady. If government subsidies retreat from the high levels of 1998, however, farm income could fall sharply in 1999.

年农产品价格暴跌亚洲经济危机农业出口下滑政府补贴不确定性