组级处理的分位数回归:以贸易的分布效应为例

IV Quantile Regression for Group-Level Treatments, With an Application to the Distributional Effects of Trade

Econometrica · 2016
被引 118
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

提出一种估计组级内生处理变量分布效应的方法,通过组内分位数回归结合两阶段最小二乘实现一致估计,并应用于1990-2007年美国数据发现中国进口竞争对低工资者影响更大。

Abstract

We present a methodology for estimating the distributional effects of an endogenous treatment that varies at the group level when there are group-level unobservables, a quantile extension of Hausman and Taylor, 1981. Because of the presence of group-level unobservables, standard quantile regression techniques are inconsistent in our setting even if the treatment is independent of unobservables. In contrast, our estimation technique is consistent as well as computationally simple, consisting of group-by-group quantile regression followed by two-stage least squares. Using the Bahadur representation of quantile estimators, we derive weak conditions on the growth of the number of observations per group that are sufficient for consistency and asymptotic zero-mean normality of our estimator. As in Hausman and Taylor, 1981, micro-level covariates can be used as internal instruments for the endogenous group-level treatment if they satisfy relevance and exogeneity conditions. Our approach applies to a broad range of settings including labor, public finance, industrial organization, urban economics, and development; we illustrate its usefulness with several such examples. Finally, an empirical application of our estimator finds that low-wage earners in the United States from 1990 to 2007 were significantly more affected by increased Chinese import competition than high-wage earners.

工具变量分位数回归组级处理效应贸易分配效应组级不可观测因素