Bayes Factors with an Application to Experimental Economics
介绍了贝叶斯因子这一衡量证据强度的指标，并利用最后通牒博弈实验数据演示其应用，发现数据虽增加了效应存在的概率，但不足以说服持怀疑态度的先验者。
Abstract We describe Bayes factor, an explicit measure of the strength of the evidence, the extent to which the data increase or decrease the odds a given hypothesis or model is true. Issues and techniques for deriving a Bayes factor are outlined. We illustrate the technique with data from an ultimatum game experiment that looked for an experimenter observation effect. We show that the evidence increases the odds of an effect, but not by enough to convince someone with a skeptical prior.