税制改革将如何影响金融市场

How Would Tax Reform Affect Financial Markets

Econometric Reviews · 1995
被引 8
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

分析了美国联邦所得税改革对金融市场的影响,发现多数提案会降低应税信贷市场利率、提高市政债券利率并推高股价,且影响可能显著。

Abstract

The U.S. Congress is evaluating several proposals to reform the federal income tax system. Proponents of tax reform want to simplify tax preparation and stimulate economic growth by increasing the incentives for taxpayers to work, save, and invest.> While the primary objective of tax reform is a more productive economy, changing the tax laws would also affect financial markets. Several of the proposals would change the way interest expenses are deducted and change the way income from interest, dividends, and capital gains is taxed. These changes would affect interest rates and the prices of stocks.> Golob analyzes the effects of income tax reform on U.S. financial markets. He reaches three conclusions. First, most proposals would reduce interest rates in credit markets where interest income is currently taxable, including bank loans, Treasury securities, and corporate securities. Second, all proposals would increase interest rates in municipal credit markets where interest income is not currently taxable. And third, most proposals would increase stock prices. All three of these effects could be substantial.

税收改革金融市场利率股票价格