MODELING MOVEMENTS IN INDIVIDUAL CONSUMPTION: A TIME-SERIES ANALYSIS OF GROUPED DATA
利用英国长期横截面数据构建合成面板,分析不同教育水平群体的消费、收入和利率的时间序列特征,发现高教育群体符合欧拉方程且跨期替代弹性大于1,低教育群体则存在过度敏感性。
We characterize the time‐series properties of group‐level consumption, income, and interest rates using microdata. We relate the coefficients of moving average representations to structural parameters of theoretical models of consumption behavior. Using long time series of cross sections to construct synthetic panel data for the United Kingdom, we find that for high‐educated individuals the Euler equation restrictions are not rejected, the elasticity of intertemporal substitution is higher than one, and there is evidence of “excess smoothness” of consumption. Low‐educated individuals, conversely, exhibit excess sensitivity of consumption to past income, and the elasticity of intertemporal substitution is not statistically different from zero.