Cyclical Fluctuations in Strike Durations
利用加拿大1946至1983年的罢工数据，通过线性回归模型发现罢工持续时间与经济周期呈反向关系，且该效应稳健且显著。
Canadian data on strikes between 1946 and 1983 are used to estimate linear regression models for the logarithm of completed duration. A thorough investigation of the influence of the business cycle reveals strong support for the hypothesis that strike durations are countercyclical. The cyclical effect is shown to be robust to both the choice of cyclical variable and the econometric specification, and the magnitude of the effect is quite substantial. Experimentation with different representations of the cycle reveals that it is difficult to improve on a simple formulation involving a single continuous variable.