The Dynastic Cycle and the Stationary State
构建一个包含农民、统治者和强盗的社会模型，分析人口增长如何同时导致农民贫困和统治者人均剩余减少，从而决定社会走向专制静止状态还是王朝循环。
A dynastic cycle is a periodic alternation of society between despotism and anarchy. In a society of farmers, rulers, and bandits, population growth simultaneously impoverishes farmers and reduces the ruler's surplus per head. Society evolves into a despotic stationary state or into a dynastic cycle dependent on whether poverty among farmers chokes off population growth before the surplus shrinks to the point where rulers turn to banditry. Copyright 1989 by American Economic Association.