Some Evidence of the Winner's Curse
利用顺序统计理论推导出参数线性的纳什投标函数，并用美国33个州的高速公路建设合同拍卖数据验证了共同价值拍卖理论的几个假设。
The mathematical complexity of auction theory has restricted empirical work to qualitative tests of its basic predictions, with mixed results. This paper exploits the theory of order statistics to derive a Nash bid function that is linear in its parameters , allowing direct estimati on by linear least squares. The bid function is fitted to a cross section of auctions for highway construction contracts from thirty-three states, and provides support for several hypotheses of the theory of common-value auctions. Copyright 1988 by American Economic Association.