The Cost of Electric Power Interruptions in the Industrial Sector: Estimates Derived from Interruptible Service Programs
提出一种基于行为数据的方法,通过工业客户参与可中断服务计划的决策来估计电力短缺成本,得出每小时中断每千瓦时4美元的成本,与调查结果一致。
The electric power industry has become increasingly interested in the value customers place upon service reliability, with the demand for reliability couched in terms of outage or shortage costs. The survey-based method of eliciting these costs dominates the literature. This paper explores and demonstrates a method for estimating outage and shortage costs based upon behavioral data. A discrete choice model is developed for estimating shortage costs using observed decisions of industrial customers regarding participation in interruptible service programs. The resulting shortage cost estimates of $4 per kWh unserved for a one-hour interruption are consistent with previous survey-based estimates.