央行独立性、经济行为与最优任期长度

Central-Bank Independence, Economic Behavior, and Optimal Term Lengths

American Economic Review · 1997
被引 93
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

用党派性和任期长度来刻画央行独立性,分析不同政策结构对实体经济的影响,发现保守央行行长会延长最优任期并降低平均通胀,但不一定增加产出波动。

Abstract

The authors parameterize central-bank independence in terms of partisanship and term length, focusing on the implications of alternative policy structures for real economic activity. While long terms of office for the central banker can reduce the role of electoral surprises, term lengths that are too long are costly if societal preferences are subject to permanent shifts. The appointment of a conservative central banker increases the optimal term length and leads to lower average inflation but need not increase the volatility of output. Copyright 1996 by American Economic Association.

中央银行独立性任期长度党派性保守型央行行长