Climate change and agriculture: The role of international trade
回顾未来气候预测，用SWOPSIM模型评估气候变化对全球农业的经济影响，并分析主要产粮区产量损失的经济敏感性。
Predictions of future climate and atmospheric conditions are reviewed and the implications for agriculture in different areas of the world are identified. The SWOPSIM (static world policy simulation) model used to evaluate the worldwide economic effects of climate change is described. An economic sensitivity analysis of concurrent yield losses in major grain-producing regions considering the possibility of concurrent changes in production potential elsewhere in the world is reported. Agricultural impacts of climate change based on three general circulation models are evaluated.