追踪制造业:东南部制造业状况调查的最新情况

Tracking manufacturing: an update on the Survey of Southeastern Manufacturing Conditions

Econometric Reviews · 1996
被引 1
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

回顾了亚特兰大联邦储备银行1991年发起的东南部制造业调查,重点介绍了1995年3月实施的季节性调整方法,并报告了调查追踪的制造业趋势、状况和预期。

Abstract

In late 1991 the Atlanta Fed's research department launched the first comprehensive survey to focus solely on indicators of manufacturing activity in the Southeast. Because the manufacturing sector is more cyclical than most other sectors, the Survey of Southeastem Manufacturing Conditions has been helpful in tracking the region's economy. ; This article revisits the survey, examining in particular the implementation of seasonal adjustment procedures in March 1995. The seasonally adjusted data make time series comparisons easier and thus provide a clearer picture of past and current conditions and manufacturers' expectations. After briefly describing the makeup of the survey, the author describes the seasonal adjustment process and then reports the trends, conditions, and expectations in the manufacturing sector tracked by the survey since its inception.

制造业调查季节性调整东南部制造业经济周期