A New Class of Multivariate Skew Densities, with Application to GARCH Models
提出一种在多元对称分布中引入偏态的方法,构造了多元偏态t分布等新密度,结合GARCH模型能更好拟合股票收益的条件异方差、厚尾和偏态特征,实证表明优于对称分布。
We propose a practical and flexible solution to introduce skewness in multivariate symmetrical distributions. Applying this procedure to the multivariate Student density leads to a "multivariate skew-Student" density, for which each marginal has a different asymmetry coefficient. Similarly, when applied to the product of independent univariate Student densities, it provides a "multivariate skew density with independent Student components" for which each marginal has a different asymmetry coefficient and number of degrees of freedom. Combined with a multivariate GARCH model, this new family of distributions (that generalizes the work of Fernandez and Steel, 1998) is potentially useful for modelling stock returns, which a are known to be conditionally heteroskedastic, fat-tailed, and often skew. In an application to the daily returns of the CAC40, NASDAQ, NIKKEI and the SMI, it is found that this density suits well the data and clearly outperforms its symmetric competitors.