存在结构突变时分数阶积分与短记忆的检验

Testing for Fractional Integration Versus Short Memory with Structural Breaks*

Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics · 2011
被引 22
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

扩展了经典的单位根检验框架,在零假设下考虑分数阶积分过程,以区分非平稳性的来源,并推导了检验的渐近性质,用美国通胀数据进行了说明。

Abstract

Abstract Although it is commonly accepted that most macroeconomic variables are non‐stationary, it is often difficult to identify the source of the non‐stationarity. Integrated processes and short‐memory models with trending components, possibly affected by structural breaks, imply similar features in the data and, accordingly, are hard to distinguish. The goal of this article is to extend the classical testing framework of I(1) versus I(0) + trends and/or breaks by considering a more general class of models under the null hypothesis: fractionally integrated (FI) processes. The asymptotic properties of the proposed tests are derived and it is shown that they are very well‐behaved in finite samples. An illustration using US inflation data is also provided.

分数积分短记忆结构断点单位根检验