RELIGIONS, FERTILITY, AND GROWTH IN SOUTHEAST ASIA
利用东南亚人口普查数据，研究天主教、佛教和伊斯兰教如何通过生育与教育渠道影响经济增长，发现不同宗教对生育和子女支出的影响各异，进而对储蓄、劳动供给和人力资本积累产生不同作用。
Abstract We investigate the extent to which the pronatalism of religions impedes growth via the fertility/education channel. Using Southeast Asian censuses, we show empirically that being Catholic, Buddhist, or Muslim significantly raises fertility, especially for couples with intermediate to high education levels. With these estimates, we identify the parameters of a structural model. Catholicism is strongly pro‐child (increasing total spending on children), followed by Buddhism, whereas Islam is more pro‐birth (redirecting spending from quality to quantity). Pro‐child religions depress growth in its early stages by lowering savings and labor supply. In the later stages of growth, pro‐birth religions impede human capital accumulation.