The Diffusion of Cattle Ranching and Deforestation: Prospects for a Hollow Frontier in Mexico’s Yucatán
研究墨西哥尤卡坦半岛农业前沿地区养牛业扩散的行为驱动因素及其对森林砍伐的影响,发现低价值养牛业的扩张与人口减少共同导致空心前沿动态。
This article investigates the behavioral drivers of pasture creation and associated implications for deforestation in a 22,000 km<sup>2</sup> agricultural frontier spanning the base of Mexico’s southern Yucatán. After developing a theoretical model that highlights the role of social networks and information spillovers with respect to the decision to begin cattle ranching, we use household data to estimate an econometric duration model of the determinants of pasture creation. Although pasture fits well with the typical household’s resource constraints, its continued expansion contributes to a hollow frontier dynamic in which the spread of low-value cattle ranching coincides with decreasing population. <i></i>