美国住房市场的收益与波动传导

Return and Volatility Transmission in U.S. Housing Markets

Real Estate Economics · 2011
被引 104
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

利用Case-Shiller房价指数分析1989至2006年美国16个大都市住房市场的收益和波动空间传导,发现纽约、旧金山和迈阿密是收益传导的核心,东部市场波动联系紧密,而中部和山区市场相对独立。

Abstract

This article uses the Case‐Shiller U.S. Home Price Indices to analyze spatial dependencies across 16 metropolitan markets for the period January 1989 to June 2006. Return transmission patterns establish New York, San Francisco and Miami as among the most influential markets. In terms of volatility linkages, there is a considerable amount of transmission in the East between New York, Boston and Washington, DC, and innovations in the housing markets of Miami, Los Angeles and San Francisco play an influential role within their respective regions. In comparison, markets in the Central and Mountain regions appear to be relatively independent from external influences. Overall, the linkages appear to be more intensive during the active phase of the real estate market (1999–2006) than during the calm phase (1989–1998).

房价回报传导波动溢出区域住房市场空间依赖