失业理论中岗位破坏冲击是否重要

Do Job Destruction Shocks Matter in the Theory of Unemployment

American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics · 2018
被引 44
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

研究发现,在DMP框架中放弃自由进入假设后,岗位破坏冲击是失业波动的主要驱动因素,挑战了标准理论中仅关注岗位创造的观点。

Abstract

Because the data show that market tightness is not orthogonal to unemployment, this paper identifies the many empirical difficulties caused by adopting the free entry of vacancies assumption in the Diamond-Mortensen-Pissarides (DMP) framework. Relaxing the free entry assumption and using Simulated Method of Moments (SMM) finds the vacancy creation process is less than infinitely elastic. Because a recession-leading job separation shock then causes vacancies to fall as unemployment increases, the ad hoc restriction to zero job separation shocks (to generate Beveridge curve dynamics) becomes redundant. In contrast to standard arguments, the calibrated model finds the job separation process drives unemployment volatility over the cycle.

失业波动职位创造弹性DMP模型自由进入假设职位破坏冲击