Civil Conflict, Democratization, and Growth: Violent Democratization as Critical Juncture
研究了第三次民主化浪潮中暴力冲突、民主化与经济增长的互动关系，发现和平民主转型对增长有显著正向影响，而暴力转型则无甚至负向影响。
Abstract In this paper, we provide an empirical investigation of the interaction between violent conflicts, democratization, and growth in the “third wave” of democratization. The effect of democratization is weakened when taking into account the incidence of civil conflict. The results show that the growth effect of democratization is heterogeneous and depends on the democratization scenario. Peaceful transitions to democracy have a significant positive effect on growth that is even larger than reported previously in the literature, whereas violent transitions have no, or even negative, growth effects.