我们携手同行:巴基斯坦女性投票行为的实验证据

Together We Will: Experimental Evidence on Female Voting Behavior in Pakistan

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics · 2018
被引 70
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

通过随机实验评估选民意识运动对巴基斯坦女性投票率、候选人选择及政党得票率的影响,发现运动不仅提高女性投票率,还促进独立投票,并产生显著溢出效应。

Abstract

In many emerging democracies women are less likely to vote than men and, when they do vote, are likely to follow the wishes of male household and clan heads. We assess the impact of a voter awareness campaign on female turnout, candidate choice and party vote shares. Geographic clusters within villages were randomly assigned to treatment or control, and within treated clusters, some households were not targeted. Compared to women in control clusters, both targeted and untargeted women in treated clusters are 11 percentage points more likely to vote, and are also more likely to exercise independence in candidate choice, indicating large spillovers. Data from polling stations suggests that treating 10 women increased female turnout by about seven votes, resulting in a cost per vote of US$3.1. Finally, a 10 percent increase in the share of treated women at the polling station led to a 7 percent decrease in the share of votes of the winning party.

女性投票行为巴基斯坦选民意识运动溢出效应