推导时间权衡法效用值的时间贴现校正因子

DERIVING TIME DISCOUNTING CORRECTION FACTORS FOR TTO TARIFFS

Health Economics · 2013
被引 10
人大 A-

中文导读

研究测量一般人群对健康结果的时间贴现,并推导出校正因子,用于修正时间权衡法(TTO)效用值因时间贴现产生的向下偏差,发现校正因子随健康状态严重程度增加而增大。

Abstract

The Time Trade-off (TTO) method is a popular method for valuing health state utilities and is frequently used in economic evaluations. However, this method produces utilities that are distorted by several biases. One important bias entails the failure to incorporate time discounting. This paper aims to measure time discounting for health outcomes in a sample representative for the general population. In particular, we estimate TTO scores alongside time discounting in order to derive a set of correction factors that can be employed to correct raw TTO scores for the downward bias caused by time discounting. We find substantial positive correction factors, which are increasing with the severity of the health state. Furthermore, higher discounting is found when using more severe health states in the discounting elicitation task. More research is needed to further develop discount rate elicitation procedures and test their validity, especially in general public samples. Moreover, future research should investigate the correction of TTO values for other biases as well, such as loss aversion, and to develop a criterion to test the external validity of TTO scores.

时间权衡法时间贴现健康效用校正因子