在健康背景下检验程序不变性

TESTING PROCEDURAL INVARIANCE IN THE CONTEXT OF HEALTH

Health Economics · 2012
被引 7
人大 A-

中文导读

通过两个实验检验健康结果偏好反转现象,发现系统性反转虽不显著,但非系统性反转率达35-40%,且受访者常用启发式作答,挑战了偏好固定不变的假设,对健康政策制定有启示。

Abstract

Violations of procedural invariance, epitomised by 'classic' preference reversals, have been observed for more than 40 years, and yet the study of this phenomenon in health remains nascent. This is an oversight because such violations pose a challenge to health economics, where choice and valuation methodologies often are used interchangeably. This article reports two experiments that aim to test for preference reversals over outcomes defined by health status, using both 'open' and 'assisted' valuation procedures. Although systematic preference reversals in the direction generally reported in the literature were not observed, the rates of non-systematic reversal were substantial, measuring 35-40%. By analysing the respondents' explanations for their answers, it is clear that many of them used heuristics to answer the questions, and they may have good reasons to do so, which undermines the notion that preferences are always fixed and stable. These results, and others like it, pose a challenge to those who unquestioningly assume procedural invariance and maintain that population preferences should be used to inform health policy.

偏好反转程序不变性健康偏好启发式决策